DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE DEFENSE OFFICE OF HEARINGS AND APPEALS In the matter of: ) ) ---------------------------------- ) ISCR Case No. 14-05986 ) ) Applicant for Security Clearance ) Appearances For Government: James Norman, Esquire, Chief Department Counsel For Applicant: Pro Se ______________ Decision ______________ WESLEY, Roger C., Administrative Judge: Based upon a review of the pleadings, exhibits, and testimony, I conclude that Applicant mitigated the security concerns regarding foreign influence. Eligibility for access to classified information is granted. History of Case On May 21, 2015, the Department of Defense (DOD) Consolidated Adjudication Facility (CAF) ), pursuant to Executive Order 10865 and Department of Defense Directive 5220.6 (Directive), dated January 2, 1992, issued a Statement of Reasons (SOR) to Applicant detailing why DOD adjudicators could not make the preliminary affirmative finding under the Directive that it is clearly consistent with the national interest to grant or continue a security clearance for Applicant, and recommended referral to an administrative judge to determine whether clearance should be granted, continued, denied or revoked. Applicant responded to the SOR on June 19, 2015, and requested a hearing. The case was assigned to me on October 16, 2015, and was scheduled for hearing on February 2, 2016. A hearing was held on the scheduled date for the purpose of 2 considering whether it would be clearly consistent with the national interest to grant, continue, deny, or revoke Applicant’s security clearance. At hearing, the Government's case consisted of eight exhibits (GEs 1-8); Applicant relied on one witness (himself) and 15 exhibits (AEs A-O). The transcript (R.T.) was received on February 10, 2016. Besides its eight exhibits, the Government requested administrative notice of facts covered by 13 source documents, which are identified as follows: U.S.-Taiwan Relationship: Overview of Policy Issues, Congressional Research Service (December 2014); Joint U.S.-China Communique (Shanghai February 1972); Joint U.S.-China Communique on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations Between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China (January 1979); U.S.-PRC Joint Communique (August 1982); U.S. Relations with Taiwan Fact Sheet: Foreign Representation (February 2015); Annual Report to Congress on Foreign Economic Collection and Industrial Espionage-2000, National Counterintelligence Center (2001); Annual Report to Congress on Foreign Economic Collection and Industrial Espionage- 2005, National Counterintelligence Center (2006); and Espionage and Other Compromises of National Security, Defense Personnel and Security Research Center (November 2009). Other documents requested for official notice by the Government include the following: Summary of Major U.S. Export Enforcement, Economic Espionage, Trade Secret and Embargo-Related Criminal Cases, U.S. Department of Justice (October 2014); Taiwan Exporter is Sentenced to Three and a Half Years for Conspiring to Export Missile Components from the United States to Iran, U.S. Department of Commerce (August 2010); Two Taiwanese Nationals Charged in New Jersey with Conspiring to Export Sensitive U.S. Military technology to China, (D. N.J. April 2012); and North Wales Man Sentenced for Illegally Exporting Goods, U.S. Department of Commerce (January 2013); Administrative or official notice is the appropriate type of notice used for administrative proceedings. See ISCR Case No. 05-11292 (App. Bd. April 12, 2007); ISCR Case No. 02-24875 (App. Bd. October 12, 2006). Administrative notice is appropriate for noticing facts or government reports that are well known. See Stein, Administrative Law, Sec. 25.01 (Bender & Co. 2006). The Government’s administrative notice request was admitted as HE 1. For good cause shown, administrative notice was granted with respect to the above-named background reports (Administrative Notice I through XIII) addressing the geopolitical situation and security concerns extant in Taiwan. Administrative notice was extended to the source documents themselves, consistent with the provisions of Fed. R. Evid. 201. This notice did not foreclose Applicant from challenging the accuracy and reliability of the information contained in the reports addressing Taiwan’s current status, or from relying on additional information in the documents not covered in the Government’s Administrative Notice. In addition to the above-described documents, I took administrative notice of a document covering the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS), DHS Announces 3 Taiwan’s Designation into Visa Waiver Program, (October 2012) and CBP, Taiwan AEO, Agree to Cargo Security Program Standards, Department of Homeland Security (November 2012) Applicant’s submissions were assigned administrative notice numbers XIV and XV. I also took administrative notice of Background Note: Taiwan, U.S. Department of State (September 2008). After receiving no objections from the parties, I assigned this document an administrative notice designation of XVI. I took administrative notice also of post-hearing documents submitted by Applicant as follows: Major U.S. Arms Sales Since 1990, Congressional Research Service (August 2014); Transfer of Excess United States Naval Vessels, Public Law 113-276 (December 2014); DHS Announces Taiwan’s Designation into Visa Waiver Program, Department of Homeland Security (October 2012); and Summary of Major U.S. Export Enforcement, Economic Espionage, Trade Secret and Embargo-Related Cases, U.S. Department of Justice (January 2015). I assigned these Applicant submissions Administrative Notice numbers of XVII-XX1. Applicant’s submitted post-hearing decisions of administrative judges addressing foreign influence issues involving Taiwan cover non-precedential decisions and are admitted for persuasive purposes only. I assigned a HE 2 designation to these decisions. Procedural Issues Before the commencement of the hearing, Applicant formally waived his procedural right to 15 days advance notice of the hearing. His waiver was accepted. Prior to the close of the hearing, Department Counsel moved to amend subparagraph 1.b of the SOR to add a second brother-in-law who is a citizen and resident of Taiwan to conform to the evidence in the record. (Tr. 76-77) For good cause shown, Department Counsel’s motion was granted. Applicant admitted the allegations as amended and was afforded the opportunity to address the amendment in his presented evidence. Before the close of the hearing, Applicant requested leave to keep the record open to permit him the opportunity to supplement the record with documented evidence of the impact on the Government’s foreign influence concerns from the recent Taiwan presidential elections, as well as provide documentary evidence of balancing security concerns surrounding Taiwan’s use of commercial espionage to acquire dual use technology with dual use military applications. For good cause shown, Applicant was granted 14 days to supplement the record. Within the time permitted, Applicant provided a financial summary, a character reference, a snapshot of his wife’s account balance in her Taiwan bank account, his wife’s certificate of naturalization, and an email from Applicant. Applicant’s submissions were admitted as AEs P-T. Additional submissions covering prior DOHA decisions and articles covering Taiwan sources in non-Government publications were admitted as AEs U, Z, AA, HH, and KK-PP. Applicant’s submissions that were not objected to by Department Counsel for the taking of administrative notice were assigned administrative notice designations of XVII- XIX. These administrative notice documents consist of the following: Major U.S. Arm 4 Sales Since 1990, Congressional Research Service (August 2014); Transfer of Excess U.S. Naval Vessels, Public Law 113-276 (December 2014); DHS Announces Taiwan’s Designation into Visa Waiver Program, (October 2012); and Summary of Major U.S. Export Enforcement, Economic Espionage, U.S. Department of Justice (January 2015). Remand Instructions On October 14, 2016, the Appeal Board remanded my decision of June 20, 2016, with instructions to resolve inconsistencies in the initial decision in accordance with the DOD standard in 5200.2-R. Issues to be resolved under the Appeal Board’s remand mandate are as follows: Whether Applicant met his burden of showing (1) his relationships with his wife’s relatives residing in Taiwan do not reflect ties of affection or obligation based on his wife’s not infrequent contacts with her mother and brothers and the affection and/or obligation that presumably exist between an applicant and the family members of his spouse; (2) the bank account that his wife maintains in Taiwan is too minimal to create security concerns; and (3) his non-SOR alleged job-related travels to the PRC in 2005 and 2008, laptop theft in 2005, and previous revocation of his sensitive compartmented information (SCI) access and collateral security clearance by another agency in 2013 do not prevent him from achieving an overall favorable whole-person assessment. Following the remand, I afforded the parties the opportunity to supplement the record, with or without a new hearing. Within the 30 days allotted to supplement the record, Applicant provided a memorandum summary of facts and arguments about Taiwan’s country status and information about his mother-in-law and brothers-in-law. Applicant’s post-remand submission was admitted without objection as AE EE. Remand findings and conclusions follow. Findings made in the June 30, 2016 decision are incorporated and supplemented by additional findings and clarifications as needed to address the issues raised in the Appeal Board’s remand decision. Summary of Pleadings Under Guideline B, Applicant allegedly has a mother-in-law and brother-in-law (since amended to include two brother-in-laws) who are citizens and residents of Taiwan. Allegedly, he has a spouse who has a bank account in Taiwan for the purpose of having access to money when he and his family travel to Taiwan. In his response, Applicant admitted to having a mother-in-law and brother-in-law who are citizens and residents of Taiwan. He denied that either of his listed relatives could be placed in a position where Applicant would have to choose other than for supporting the interests of the United States. He claimed he has had a security clearance (either secret or top secret) since 1999. He claimed there is no conflict of interest, because of his deep and longstanding relationships and loyalties to the United States and the strong defense ties that exist between Taiwan and the United States. 5 Applicant further claimed that his interactions with his family members residing in Taiwan are casual and infrequent. And, he claimed he has no foreign business, financial interest, or property interest in Taiwan. Findings of Fact Applicant is a 58-year-old research associate for a university-affiliated research center and defense contractor who seeks a security clearance. The allegations covered in the SOR and admitted by Applicant are adopted as relevant and material findings. Additional findings follow. Applicant’s background Applicant married his wife in Taiwan in September 1994 (Tr. 85), and has two children (ages 17 and 19), who were born and raised in the United States. (GEs 1-2) He met his wife at a dinner party in the Fall of 1991 while both were attending graduate school. (GEs 1-2 and 7-8; Tr. 74, 85) His wife earned her bachelor’s degree in Taiwan and worked for two years as a physical education teacher before immigrating to the United States in 1991 on a student’s visa to attend graduate school. (GEs 7-8; Tr. 70, 70-74) She became a naturalized U.S. citizen in May 2006, but maintains her dual citizenship with Taiwan. (GE 8; Tr. 88, 92) Currently, she teaches school and works intermittently in various part-time jobs. (Tr. 91) Applicant earned a bachelor’s, masters, and Ph.D degrees from respected universities. (GE 2) He has been employed by his current employer as a research associate for a major university since 2005. (GEs 1-2 and 7 AE A) Prior to accepting his current position, he was employed in various research assignments at the same university since 1999. (AEs 1-2 and 7) Applicant claimed no military service. (GEs 1-2) Applicant admitted to two security violations (one in May 2010 and the other in June 2010) while employed by his current employer. (GEs 6-7; Tr. 93-94, 96-97) The May 2010 infraction report resulted in a verbal warning by his security officer for unmarked media or a DVD containing classified information. (GEs 6-7; Tr. 93-94) The June 2010 violation involved his failure to secure a safe with classified information located in his supervisor’s office in his mistaken belief his supervisor was still in the building. This violation resulted in his being written up for a security violation that was transmitted to the Defense Security Service (DSS) and directed to complete remedial training in safe handling practices. (GEs 7-8; Tr. 96) In June 2013, Applicant’s application for SCI access was denied by another agency. (GEs 6-7; Tr. 95-96) Also in June 2013, his top secret collateral clearance was revoked by the same agency. The revocation was based on a combination of his having family connections in Taiwan and job-related travels in the PRC (Tr. 96-98, 112-118) Whether his two security violations were cited as an additional basis is not clear. Applicant’s current application for a security clearance represents his first attempt to regain his security clearance following his loss of clearance in 2013 from the other agency. (Tr. 118) 6 Between 2003 and 2009, Applicant worked on a NASA-funded research program. (GEs 1-3 and 6-8) He visited the People’s Republic of China (the PRC) in 2005, 2006, and 2008 to conduct research on an awarded NASA program. This travel to the PRC was fully authorized by his university employer. (TR. 97-98) While in the PRC, he collaborated with a foreign contact who was a visiting scholar with his university’s research institute. (GEs 1-3 and 6-8) While on one of these research trips on job-related travel to the PRC in 2005, his university-owned laptop was stolen from his hotel room. (GEs 6-8 and AE EE; Tr. 99) This laptop computer contained only open source information and no classified data. (Tr. 99-100) Applicant promptly reported this lap top theft to both the hotel’s management and his university security officer who filed a report of the theft with the Navy’s Criminal Investigative Service (NCIS). (GEs 6-8 and AE EE) The PRC contact he encountered at the hotel on this 2005 trip to the PRC did not identify himself by name and has never tried to reach Applicant since this 2005 exchange. (GEs 6-8 and AE EE) Applicant has never failed to report any security infractions or contacts with foreign nationals and has never provided any false or misleading information concerning relevant matters to any investigator, security official, medical authority, or other party, in connection with a personnel security determination. (GE 6 and AE EE) In DSS’s most recent inspection of Applicant’s research facility in 2015, his facility reportedly received the agency’s highest possible rating. (Tr. 108) Applicant’s recitations about his facility’s rating are credible and accepted. Applicant has no affiliation with a foreign government (Taiwan included) and has never had any employment or contact with a foreign government or foreign nationals since 2008. (GEs 1-2 and 6-8) His children are native born citizens of the United States who attend U.S. schools and have no foreign contacts. (GEs 1-2 and 8) Applicant spends most of his spare time with his family and in volunteer charitable activities in his local community. (AEs C-I) Applicant’s father-in-law (a citizen and resident of Taiwan) passed away in 1991 before Applicant met his wife. (Tr. 80) During his life, Applicant’s father-in-law owned and operated night clubs, stores, and restaurants, and once served on a local town council. (Tr. 80-81) Applicant’s surviving mother-in-law and two brothers-in-law are citizens and residents of Taiwan. (GEs 1 and 2 and 7-8; Tr. 75-76) Applicant’s mother-in-law is not employed and has no ties or affiliations with any political party or military in Taiwan. She is a homemaker who assists occasionally in a minor supporting role in her family’s retail car sales business. (GE 8; Tr. 81) Applicant’s wife has two brothers, both of whom are citizens and residents of Taiwan. (GEs 1-8; Tr. 75-76) Applicant’s oldest brother-in-law never married, lives with his mother, and has no children. (Tr. 79) He served in the Taiwan military over 35 years ago, before Applicant and his wife met, and has worked as a car salesman for the past 25 years. (AE EE; Tr. 71-72, 77-79) His youngest brother-in-law is married to a homemaker and has two daughters. (Tr. 86) His youngest brother-in-law once served in Taiwan’s compulsory military service (over 35 years ago) and currently is a self- 7 employed paralegal. (AE EE; Tr. 82-83) Applicant considers his mother-in-law and brothers-in-law to be persons of integrity. Each is financially stable and requires no financial support of Applicant, his wife, or any of his wife’s family members. (Tr. 89, 105) Neither brother-in-law has any known ties or affiliations with the Taiwan government or military. Applicant himself has little contact with his mother-in-law and brothers-in-law in Taiwan. (Tr. 78-79) He last saw his mother-in-law and oldest brother-in-law in 2008 on his most recent trip to Taiwan. (GEs 6-7; Tr. 78), and he has not seen his youngest brother-in-law since 2005. (GE 8; Tr. 83) Neither his mother-in-law nor either of his brothers-in-law speak English, and Applicant does not speak Chinese. (GEs 1-2 and AE EE) Applicant’s wife maintains bi-monthly contact with her mother and brothers in Taiwan (less frequent than in the past) and last visited them (along with her two sons) in 2013. (AE EE; Tr. 83-84, 87) Whatever close bonds of affection and obligation exist between Applicant’s wife and her Taiwan relatives have never been extended to Applicant based on his testimony and evidence in the record. Applicant’s wife established and maintains a bank account in Taiwan that she set up for the purpose of having access to money when she and her family travel to Taiwan. While she never maintains more than a few thousand dollars in the account (currently $3,500), she has continued to maintain the account in open status. (GEs 6-8) Applicant assured his wife was in the process of closing the account, but has since changed her mind. (AE U; Tr. 73) By contrast to his wife’s bank balance in her Taiwan account, Applicant and his wife have considerable assets in the United States. He documented his tax return for 2014 that reported adjusted gross income of $111,000 and his W-2 for 2015 that reflects gross wages of $96,089. (AEs A-B) Their U.S. assets include two home mortgages that are close to being paid off, checking accounts, a money market account, retirement accounts, education savings accounts, and a debit card statement covering an account in current status. (AEs C-J) Applicant also documented excellent credit scores within an 814 to 819 range. (AE K) Applicant’s evidence is probative of significant U.S. assets owned and controlled by Applicant and his wife, more than enough to avert any risks of financial pressures on Applicant’s mother-in-law and brother-in-law by Taiwan government officials. Endorsements Managers, supervisors, and former Government officials who have known and worked with Applicant praised his contributions and trustworthiness. A former program director for a DOD technology demonstration platform credited Applicant with major contributions to the platform’s development and execution. (AE Q) She stressed her daily interaction with Applicant and his demonstrated professionalism and good judgment. Applicant’s deputy director of research and his direct supervisor characterized Applicant as a self-starter who consistently inspires trust and confidence. (AE N) A prior 8 supervisor who is equally familiar with the background of Applicant’s case described him as a responsible and conscientious co-worker. (AE N) And, his employer’s facility security officer (FSO) and coworker credited Applicant with good moral character and trustworthiness. (AE N) Taiwan’s Country Status Taiwan has a rich history that dates back 12 to 15 thousand years. Dutch and Spanish colonists claimed the island in the 16 and 17 centuries. See Backgroundth th Note: Taiwan, supra, at 1-2. Migration from the Chinese mainland over time supplanted the aborigine peoples of Taiwan. Japan exerted considerable influence over Taiwan following China’s ceding of Taiwan to Japan in 1895. (Id.) Following the end of World War II in 1945, Taiwan reverted to Chinese rule. Civil war erupted soon after the reversion between Chiang Kai-Shek’s Kuomintang (KMT) party and the increasingly influential Chinese Communist Party guided by Mao Zedong. When the civil war ended in 1949, two million refugees (predominantly nationalists) fled to Taiwan, where Chiang Kai-Shek established a separate provisional KMT capital in Taipei. See Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 2. Mao’s victorious Communist party, in turn, established the People’ s Republic of China (PRC). For the past half century, Taiwan has demonstrated steady economic development and today is a major international trading power. Its accession to the world Trade Organization (WTO) in 2002 represented a significant achievement and strengthened its standing in the expanding global economy. See Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 3. Taiwan has exhibited steady political development as well since its establishment as an island government. Changes reflect a continuing liberalizing process that culminated in the tightly contested election of Chen Shui-bian in 2000. See Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 4-5. Chen’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) won major parliamentary victories in 2000 and again in 2004, enabling Chen to become the first opposition party candidate to win the presidency. Chen was re-elected in 2004 on a platform that included a “defensive referendum.” (Id., at 6) Such referenda have been historically perceived to be closely linked to the question of Taiwan’s independence. Legislative elections in January 2008 produced a decisive majority for the KMT party over Chen’s DPP. (Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 2-3) In the presidential election that was held one month later, Ma Ying-jeou prevailed, securing a united government under KMT control for the first time. (Id.) The January 2012 presidential and legislative elections were held concurrently (as the result of a constitutional amendment) and resulted in the reelection of Ma Ying-jeou and renewed KMT legislative control by the victorious KMT party. Today’s Taiwan political system can appropriately be described as a multi-party democracy under a constitutional umbrella comprising five branches: executive, legislative, judicial, control and examination. By all accounts, Taiwan has a good human 9 rights record and has demonstrated respect for the rule of contract in its commercial relations. Election results from Taiwan’s recent presidential and legislative elections in January 2016 add further uncertainty to national espionage threats. Tsai Ing-wen, opposition leader of the DPP prevailed over the KMT. Dr. Tsai acknowledged Taiwan’s tenuous relationship with the PRC and pledged her utmost efforts to find mutually acceptable ways to minimize provocations and surprises. (AE U) Explanations abound for the rise of women in Taiwan politics. (Id.) Most scholars attribute the rise of women in government to evolving global trends in female involvement in politics. Dr. Tsai’s impressive victory in Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election promises to have significant affects on future U.S.-Taiwan relations, as well as Taiwan-PRC relations. (AE U) Taiwan’s PRC Relations The PRC does not recognize Taiwan’s independence, and insists that there is only “one China” See Administrative Notice, supra, at 3; Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 7, and U.S.-Taiwan Relationship: Overview of Policy Issues, supra. Despite differences over the PRC’s one China policy, Taiwan and the PRC have enjoyed increased contacts over the past decade. (Id.) Over the past several years, Taiwan has relaxed restrictions on unofficial contacts with the PRC. With Taiwan’s continued relaxation of its PRC policy regarding unofficial contacts, cross-strait interactions have grown significantly. With increasing contacts between Taiwan and the PRC, cross-strait trade has grown rapidly over the past 10 years. (Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 7-8) China is Taiwan’s largest trading partner, and Taiwan is China’s seventh largest. (Id.) In June 2010, following prolonged negotiations, the two sides signed an Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA), which was designed to liberalize cross-strait trade in products and services, with the long-term goal of eventually creating an essentially free- trade regime. The development of semi-official cross-strait relations between Taiwan and the PRC hopefully will contribute to tension reductions and to an environment conducive to an eventually peaceful resolution of outstanding differences between the two sides. (Id., at 8) In the current political environment in the aftermath of Taiwan’s recent elections, and ongoing disputes between the parties in the South China Sea, it is still too early to predict the direction of cross-strait negotiations between Taiwan and the PRC, and between the United States, Taiwan, and the PRC. (AE U) Because of the PRC’s long insistence on Taiwan’s acceptance of the “one China” principle as a requisite to any jump-starting of negotiations over practical agreements in trade, cultural exchanges, and other areas of mutual interest, future relations between the two sides remain cloudy at best. 10 U.S.-Taiwan Relations In the joint US-PRC communiques of 1972, 1979, and 1982, the United States announced its recognition of the government of the PRC as the sole government of China and that there is but one China, of which Taiwan is a part. (Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 7) The Joint Communiques confirmed that within this context the people of the United States will maintain cultural, commercial, and other unofficial relations with the people of Taiwan. To implement the joint communique, Congress passed the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) in April 1979. See Pub. L. No. 96-8, § 2, 93 Stat. 4 (1979)(codified at 22 U.S.C. § § 3301-3316. President Carter, in turn, signed the legislation into law on April 10, 1979. Besides providing the legal basis for maintaining the U.S. unofficial relationship with Taiwan, the TRA reinforced the U.S. commitment to providing defense assistance to Taiwan. The TRA expressly provides for the continued sale of appropriate defensive military equipment to Taiwan and declares that peace and stability in the area are in U.S. interests. See Background Note, Taiwan, supra, at 9-10. The TRA also established the American Institute of Taiwan (AIT), a non-profit corporation designed to provide citizen and consular services similar to those at diplomatic posts. (Id.) And, even though the United States terminated its Mutual Defense Treaty with Taiwan following its de-recognition of the latter, it has continued its sale of appropriate defensive military equipment to Taiwan. (Id.) While ambiguously written, the U.S. commitment to Taiwan’s security against cross-strait aggression by the PRC’s military forces is implicit in the TRA’s coverage of U.S. responsibilities towards Taiwan. This implicit construction is oft-used to support proponents of a “two China” policy. To be sure, initial actions of the Bush Administration in 2001 provided cause to conclude that President Bush abandoned longstanding U.S. policy of “strategic ambiguity” in favor of a policy that placed a clearer emphasis on Taiwan’s interests at the expense of the PRC. See Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 8-9; U.S. Relations with Taiwan Fact Sheet: Foreign Representation, supra. More recent developments, though, reflect the smoothing of U.S.-PRC relations as a part of the broader war on terrorism. Currently, the United States does not support Taiwan independence and opposes unilateral steps by either side to alter the status quo. (Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 9-10) For so long as Taiwan’s national security remains under threat (both veiled and unveiled) from the PRC, Taiwan can be expected to pursue the development of its military amidst expectations of military assistance from the United States. Stressing self-reliance, Taiwan maintains a large military establishment (accounting for 2.9 per cent of its gross domestic product). (Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 6). Its principal mission is to defend itself against the PRC, which has not renounced the use of force against Taiwan (Id.) With its unchanged public policy of maintaining “strategic ambiguity” in its official relations with Taiwan, the United States can 11 be expected to continue its support of Taiwan’s island security with the sale of defensive military equipment. Recently, Congress passed legislation enhancing its oversight of U.S. transfers of excess Navy vessels to Taiwan. See Major U.S. Arms Sales since 1990, supra; Transfer of Excess United States Naval Vessels, Public Law 113-276, supra. Arms sales to Taiwan since 1990 have been substantial. Tables tracking U.S. arms sales between 1990 and 2008 report U.S. sales of transport aircraft, torpedoes, tanks, weapons and ammunition supply support arrangements, standard air defense missiles, transport aircraft, harpoon anti-ship missiles, stinger surface-to-air missiles, Kidd-class destroyers, information distribution systems, control radars, pilot training, and many other classes of military equipment, training devices, and services. (Id., at 20-23) Examples of increased U.S. ties to Taiwan include the designation of its visa waiver program and the cargo security program between CBT and Taiwan AEO. See DHS Announces Taiwan’s Designation into Visa Waiver Program, and Taiwan AEO, Agree to Cargo Security Program Standards, supra. U.S. defense support for Taiwan shows no signs of waning in the foreseeable future. Taiwan’s Economic Collection Practices Based on past reports to Congress, Taiwan is considered one of the most active collectors of U.S. economic and proprietary information. In its 2005 Annual Report to Congress on Foreign Economic Collection and Industrial Espionage, the Counterintelligence Executive (CE) listed Taiwan as well as the PRC among the most active collectors based on cited surveys. See Annual Report to Congress on Foreign Economic Collection and Industrial Espionage-2005, supra, at 12. Specific incidents are cited in the CE’s report that identify offenders of proprietary information thefts and attempts to acquire export-restricted products. (Id., at 11) Care must be taken, though, in relying too heavily on the unverified information supplied by reporting U.S. firms in the CE surveys. Recent espionage convictions document ongoing collection activities covering theft of sensitive and proprietary information by and for Taiwan companies. See Administrative Notice, supra, at 5-6, and press releases covering specific cases involving criminal and civil charges brought against Taiwan exporters of controlled items and components and sensitive technology, supra. Summaries of U.S. arms sales over the past 40 years are covered subject to strengthened security measures put in place. See Summary of Major U.S. Export Enforcement, Economic Espionage, Trade Secret and Embargo-Related Cases, supra. Multilateral export control regimes in place are voluntary and not universally adhered to by member nations. Stress Points Between Taiwan, the PRC, and the United States In its Annual Reports to Congress in 2000 and 2005, the National Counterintelligence Executive described the PRC as a country intent on acquiring and 12 exploiting the knowledge developed by multiples of collection agents: legally, if possible, and otherwise illegally by espionage. See Administrative Notice, supra, at 5; Annual Report to Congress on Foreign Economic Collection and Industrial Espionage, supra. Recent indictments of Chinese citizens for espionage have served to highlight the PRC’s spying activities in the U.S. (Id.) Violating its own 2004 U.S.-China agreement, the PRC oft-fails to schedule timely end-use inspection visits of dual-use items licensed for export to the PRC. Better export controls can be effective only if they are multilateral in scope. Multilateral export controls and arms embargoes, however, do provide additional insurance against altering the cross-strait military balance that has been long maintained. (Id., at 7) Without effective dual use export controls in place, the PRC can be expected to acquire dual use technologies with military potential from the United States and Taiwan through the United States and other source countries. Reported intelligence, though, is lacking on any Taiwan use of its collection resources in the United States to supply the PRC with needed military technology (alone or through technology with known dual use capabilities). Other stress points between the PRC and Taiwan are reflected in periodic PRC military exercises in the Taiwan Straits. See Background Note: Taiwan, supra, at 6-7. More frequent U.S.-Taiwan and U.S.-PRC high-level exchanges have the potential to reduce cross-strait military tensions. See id, at 7 and U.S.-Taiwan Relationship: Overview of Policy Issues, supra. Policies The AGs for Determining Eligibility for Access to Classified Information (effective September 2006) list Guidelines to be considered by administrative judges in the decision making process covering DOHA cases. These Guidelines require the administrative judge to consider all of the "Conditions that could raise a security concern and may be disqualifying” (Disqualifying Conditions), if any, and all of the "Mitigating Conditions," if any, before deciding whether or not a security clearance should be granted, continued or denied. In addition to the relevant AGs, administrative judges must take into account the pertinent considerations for assessing extenuation and mitigation set forth in AG ¶ 2(a) of the AGs, which are intended to assist the judges in reaching a fair and impartial commonsense decision based upon a careful consideration of the pertinent guidelines within the context of the whole person. The adjudicative process is designed to examine a sufficient period of an applicant’s life to enable predictive judgments to be made about whether the applicant is an acceptable security risk. The following AG ¶ 2(a) factors are pertinent: (1) the nature, extent, and seriousness of the conduct; (2) the circumstances surrounding the conduct, to include knowledgeable participation; (3) the frequency and recency of the conduct; (4) the individual’s age and maturity at the time of the conduct; (5) the extent to which 13 participation is voluntary; (6) the presence or absence of rehabilitation and other permanent behavioral chances; (7) the motivation for the conduct; (8) the potential for pressure, coercion, exploitation, or duress; and (9) the likelihood of continuation or recurrence. Viewing the issues raised and evidence as a whole, the following adjudication policy factors are pertinent herein: Foreign Influence The Concern: “Foreign contacts and interests may be a security concern if the individual has divided loyalties or foreign financial interests, may be manipulated or induced to help a foreign person, group, organization, or government in a way that is not in U.S. interests, or is vulnerable to pressure or coercion by any foreign interest. Adjudication under the this Guideline can and should considered the identity of the foreign country in which the foreign contact or financial interest is located, including, but not limited to, such considerations as whether the foreign country is known to target United States citizens to obtain protected information and/or is associated with a risk of terrorism.” Burden of Proof By virtue of the precepts framed by the Directive, a decision to grant or continue an Applicant's request for security clearance may be made only upon a threshold finding that to do so is clearly consistent with the national interest. Because the Directive requires administrative judges to make a common sense appraisal of the evidence accumulated in the record, the ultimate determination of an applicant's eligibility for a security clearance depends, in large part, on the relevance and materiality of that evidence. As with all adversary proceedings, the Judge may draw only those inferences which have a reasonable and logical basis from the evidence of record. Conversely, the Judge cannot draw factual inferences that are grounded on speculation or conjecture. The Government's initial burden is twofold: (1) it must prove any controverted fact[s] alleged in the Statement of Reasons, and (2) it must demonstrate that the facts proven have a material bearing to the applicant's eligibility to obtain or maintain a security clearance. The required showing of material bearing, however, does not require the Government to affirmatively demonstrate that the applicant has actually mishandled or abused classified information before it can deny or revoke a security clearance. Rather, consideration must take account of cognizable risks that an applicant may deliberately or inadvertently fail to safeguard classified information. Once the Government meets its initial burden of proof of establishing admitted or controverted facts, the burden of proof shifts to the applicant for the purpose of establishing his or her security worthiness through evidence of refutation, extenuation or mitigation of the Government's case. Based on the requirement of Exec. Ord 10865 that all security determinations be clearly consistent with the national interest, the applicant 14 has the ultimate burden of demonstrating his or her security clearance eligibility. [S]ecurity determinations should err, if they must, on the side of denials.” See Department of the Navy v. Egan, 484 U.S. 518, 531 (1988). Analysis Applicant is a U.S. citizen whose wife immigrated to the United States from Taiwan in 1991 on a student visa to pursue her graduate studies in education and became a naturalized U.S. citizen in May 2006. Security concerns arise over the status of Applicant’s mother-in-law and brothers-in-law, who are citizens and residents of Taiwan, a country historically friendly to the United States, albeit, one with a reported history of economic collection activities in the United States. Department Counsel urges security concerns over risks that Applicant’s mother-in- law and brothers-lin-law residing in Taiwan might be subject to undue foreign influence by Taiwanese government authorities to access classified information in Applicant’s possession or control. Because Applicant’s in-laws reside in Taiwan where Applicant’s wife still has an open bank account, they present potential heightened security risks covered by disqualifying condition (DC) ¶ 7(a) of the AGs for foreign influence: “contact with a foreign family member, business or professional associate, friend, or other person who is a citizen of or resident in a foreign country if that contact creates a heightened risk of foreign exploitation, inducement, manipulation, pressure, or coercion.” The citizenship/residence status of these extended family members in Taiwan and retention of a Taiwan bank account by his wife pose some potential concerns for Applicant because of the risks of undue foreign influence that could compromise sensitive or classified information under Applicant's possession and/or control. Applicant’s mother-in-law is a widowed homemaker who has no known ties or affiliations with the Taiwan government or military. She occasionally assists with her family’s retail car sales business and does not rely on any financial support from Applicant and his wife. Because she speaks no English and cannot communicate verbally with Applicant who speaks no Chinese, she has had virtually no contact with Applicant, except indirectly through his wife. Applicant’s last personal contact with his mother-in-law occurred on his most recent visit to Taiwan in 2008 Each of Applicant’s brothers-in-law served in the Taiwan military over 35 years ago and own or operate private businesses in Taiwan. Like their mother, neither brother-in-law has any known ties or affiliations with Taiwan’s government or military. The facts covering Applicant’s wife’s Taiwan relatives are distinguishable from the situations reviewed by the Appeal Board in ISCR Case No. 08-09211 at 2-3 (App. Bd. Jan. 21, 2010) (mother-in-law worked as a switchboard operator at a Taiwanese military base for almost 30 years), and in ISCR Case No. 08-04488 at 4-5 (App. Bd. April 23, 2009) (Applicant maintained normal and routine relationships with her family members and friends residing in Taiwan). Because Applicant’s mother-in-law participates in her family’s car sales business, and his brothers-in-law have prior military service (although aged for the most part), some 15 consideration of DC ¶ 7(b), “connection to a foreign person, group, government, or country that create a potential conflict of interest between the individual’s obligation to protect sensitive information or technology and the individual’s desire to help a foreign person, group, or country by providing that information,” is warranted as well. While Applicant has infrequent contact with his mother-in-law and brothers-in-law residing in Taiwan (none since his most recent visit to Taiwan in 2008), his wife maintains bi-monthly contact with her relatives. This could afford him some potential for accessing Taiwan officials who might be interested in proprietary, sensitive, or even classified information, accessible to Applicant. Still, none of Applicant’s extended family members have any known affiliations or contacts with Taiwan officials currently known to be associated with intelligence or military organizations interested in collecting proprietary or sensitive information in the United States. Past reported collection activities by Taiwan government officials have no verifiable application to Applicant’s in-laws, or by implication to Applicant himself. The AGs governing collateral clearances do not dictate per se results or mandate particular outcomes for applicants with relatives who are citizens/residents of foreign countries in general. What is considered to be an acceptable risk in one foreign country may not be in another. The geopolitical aims and policies of the particular foreign regime involved do matter. And the AGs do take into account the country’s demonstrated relations with the United States as an important consideration in gauging whether the particular relatives with citizenship and residency elsewhere create a heightened security risk. Taiwan, while reported to target the United States and its companies in the past for economic and proprietary information, is still a country with no known recent history of hostage taking or disposition for exerting undue influence against family members to obtain either classified information or unclassified economic and proprietary data. The special relationship that has existed between the United States and Taiwan over the past half-century has been one marked by mutually reconcilable political and economic interests. Reports of Taiwan intelligence gathering against U.S. companies are counterbalanced by Taiwan’s history of friendship and partnership in a defense pact formalized in 1979. The mutually supportive bonds that have linked Taiwan’s special relationship with the United States have not been weakened by either the TRA, or the geopolitical forces that have shaped the U.S.’s evolving relationship with the PRC. Whatever geopolitical uncertainties exist as the result of the recent presidential and legislative elections in Taiwan are not likely to change any risk assessments at this time. Taiwan remains a friend of the United States and is a country whose democratic institutions are not incompatible with our own traditions and respect for human rights and the rule of law. Whatever potential heightened security risks can be imputed as the result of Taiwan’s being considered an active collector of economic and proprietary data are more than counterbalanced by Taiwan’s strong allied relationships with the United States in trade and commerce, its democratic institutions, the historic commitments the United States has maintained in the defense of Taiwan’s security interests and territorial integrity under the 16 TWA, and Applicant’s own deep-seated commitments to the protection and advancement of U.S. security interests. Minimizing any heightened risk that may exist over Taiwan’s economic collection practices are Applicant’s infrequent contacts with his wife’s relatives residing in Taiwan. His wife’s bi-monthly contacts with her relatives in Taiwan, while not infrequent, have never resulted in any manifest Applicant ties of affection or obligation. Considering the absence of any Applicant contacts with his wife’s relatives since his 2008 visit to Taiwan and the significant language barriers that exist between Applicant and his wife’s Taiwan relatives, it is not surprising to find the absence of any developed feelings of affection and obligation between Applicant and these relatives. Absent, too, is any evidence of Applicant’s wife’s making contact (directly or indirectly) with Taiwan officials. From the presented evidence, his spouse’s relationships with her relatives have not produced any indications of family member contacts with Taiwan officials, or indicators of any potential conflicts his wife might have through her family relationships and bank account in Taiwan. While there is a presumption of close ties and affection for, or obligation to, the immediate family members of an applicant’s spouse, this presumption is clearly rebutted, as it applies to Applicant, by persuasive evidence of Applicant’s distant relationships with his mother-in-law and brothers-in-law and the absence of any demonstrated opportunity to develop bonds of affection and/or obligation with his wife’s Taiwan relatives through his spouse. With his produced probative evidence, Applicant demonstrated convincingly that he has no emotional attachments, feelings of obligation, or regular or even casual contact with his wife’s relatives in Taiwan. See ISCR Case No. 11-04980 at 4 (App. Bd. Sep. 21, 2012) Put another way, Applicant’s spouse’s close relationships with her Taiwan relatives have never produced close ties, affection, or obligations between Applicant and his spouse’s relatives. Under these special circumstances, Applicant may take advantage of mitigating conditions (MC) ¶ 8(a), “the nature of the relationships with foreign persons, the country in which these persons are located, or the persons or activities of these persons in that country are such that it is unlikely the individual will be placed in a position of having to choose between the interests of a foreign individual, group, organization, or government and the interests of the U.S,” and MC ¶ 8(c), “contact or communication with foreign citizens is so casual and infrequent that there is little likelihood that it could create a risk for foreign influence or exploitation.” Applicant’s contacts with his mother-in-law and brothers- in-law have been negligible over the past ten years. Neither of the in-laws speak English, and Applicant speaks no Chinese. He last saw his mother-in-law and oldest brother-in-law in 2008 when he visited Taiwan and has not seen his youngest brother-in-law since 2005. He knows no more about their background than what he provided at his hearing. Other mitigating conditions applicable to Applicant’s situation are MC ¶ 8(b): “there is no conflict of interest, either because the individual’s sense of loyalty or obligation to the foreign person, group, government, or country is so minimal, or the individual has such deep and longstanding relationships and loyalties in the U.S., that the individual can be expected to resolve any conflict of interest in favor of the U.S. interest.” Applicant is a U.S. 17 citizen by birth with longstanding commitments to U.S. core values and principles. Applicant has been employed by his current university employer in various research capacities since 1999 and has no ties or obligations to any foreign person or entity that could possibly compromise his loyalties or commitments to the United States. MC ¶ 8(e), “the individual has promptly complied with existing agency requirements regarding the reporting of contacts, requests, or threats from persons, groups, or organizations from a foreign country,” applies as well to Applicant’s situation. The record is clear about Applicant’s prompt reporting to his FSO of his contacts with his university research colleague from the PRC (while both were in residency in the United States with Applicant’s U.S. university and while in the PRC in 2005 attending research conferences). Applicant was similarly vigilant in his reporting of the theft of his university owned laptop computer by unknown persons during his 2005 trip to China. This computer contained no classified information, and Applicant was never contacted again by the Chinese official who discussed the theft with him during Applicant’s hotel stay in the PRC in 2005. Addressing Applicant’s wife’s Taiwan bank account, this account is of minimal value compared to the assets Applicant and his wife maintain in the United States, and are not likely to create any conflicts of interest. These Taiwan bank funds are more than counterbalanced by the considerable property interests and close family and community relationships he and his wife have forged in the United States. This small account is highly unlikely to create any conflict that could be used “effectively to influence, manipulate, or pressure the individual.” (MC ¶ 8(f)) Based on the information developed in the evidentiary record, Applicant’s wife’s small bank account in Taiwan that she maintains for travel when she and her family travel to Taiwan (which is minimal for Applicant), Applicant is entitled to the full benefit of MC ¶ 8(f). Whole-person assessment also serves to minimize Applicant’s exposure to conflict of interests with his Taiwan in-laws. Not only has Applicant’s wife become a naturalized U.S. citizen (in 2006) and received an advanced degree in the United States, but Applicant himself has devoted his entire professional career to the valued work he has provided to his university employer for so many years. He is considered highly reliable and trustworthy by his managers, supervisor, co-workers, and a former DOD official who regularly interacted with Applicant. None of his managers, supervisor, or coworkers who are familiar with his clearance issues expressed awareness of any risks of coercion, pressure, or influence that Applicant’s mother-in-law and brother-in-laws might be exposed to in Taiwan. Concerning to the Government in a whole-person analysis, even though not alleged in the SOR, are Applicant’s two security violation incidents in 2010 that resulted in a warning for the first incident and a write-up for the second one. Applicant received remedial training as the result of the second incident that was reported to DSS. Since these two incidents, he has not been cited for any security breach or violation of company guidelines or policy governing security procedures and practices. Also raised in the Appeal Board’s remand as a pertinent consideration in making a whole-person analysis is the laptop incident that occurred on one of Applicant’s research- 18 related trips to the PRC in 2005. During his stay, some unknown person broke into his hotel room and stole his university-owned laptop computer. The laptop contained only open source information and no classified data and was promptly reported by Applicant to both the hotel’s management and NCIS. The unidentified PRC person he encountered at the hotel on this 2005 trip to the PRC never tried to reach Applicant since this incident. This incident did not arise through any fault of Applicant and should not be factored against him in any overall whole-person analysis. Based on all of the information compiled in the record, any likelihood of coercion, pressure, or influence being brought to bear on any of Applicant’s extended family members would appear to be minimal. By all reasonable accounts of the presented record, Applicant has few visible conflicts of interest with Taiwan citizens and residents or property interests in Taiwan that could be at risk to exploitation or compromise by Taiwan authorities. The only potential exceptions are the still open Taiwan bank account of his wife and the residency of his mother-in-law and brothers-in-law in Taiwan. Neither the Taiwan residency of his in-laws nor his wife’s small bank account in Taiwan present any cognizable security risks that could realistically be exploited by Taiwan authorities. Raised doubts about security clearance eligibility should be reasonable ones based on evidence-based criteria that can be reconciled with principles of commonsense and substantial evidence. Neither Egan, supra, nor the Directive’s Enclosure 2 ¶ 2(b) preclude the use of reasonable evidence-based criteria when evaluating the record for the existence of remaining doubts about an applicant’s security clearance worthiness. Overall, any potential security concerns attributable to Applicant's having extended family members in Taiwan and to his wife’s Taiwan bank account are minimal and permit safe predictive judgments about Applicant's ability to withstand risks of undue influence attributable to his familial relationships and spousal property interests in Taiwan. Applicant's ties and interests in his family members with citizenship and residency in Taiwan are by every reasonable measure mitigated. Favorable conclusions are warranted with respect to the allegations covered by Guideline B. Formal Findings In reviewing the allegations of the SOR in the context of the findings of fact, conclusions, and the factors and conditions listed above, I make the following separate formal findings with respect to Applicant's eligibility for a security clearance. GUIDELINE B: (FOREIGN INFLUENCE): FOR APPLICANT Subparas. 1.a-1.c: For APPLICANT Roger C. Wesley Administrative Judge 19